And the 3rd loss?Originally Posted by TennesseeDawg
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And the 3rd loss?
We will not lose to Navy or Nevada. Boise will be close, too close to call. I'll make my determination about Fresno after their first couple of games that I get to see. We shouldn't lose to any other WAC team. Auburn will be a low scoring win. Depending on LSU's qb situation, we could be looking at another blowout. I can see a possible 4 losses and not be upset. More than 4 losses will be a disappointment with me.
why wont we lose to nevada, exactly?
The NLU/ULM grads are really happy to see us on LSU's schedule this year. As one of them here at the office said, "When I see y'all on OUR schedule, I know it means another National Championship." Looking back, 2003, 2007...both Tech/LSU years, and both LSU national titles. I'd love to prove 'em wrong!
That said, I think 8-4 is reasonable, but I won't venture to say who we beat or lose to...i'm always surprised at our Dawgs. We beat folks we "should" lose to, and we lose to teams we "should" beat...go figure
I don't necessarily think that we won't, but...
Early in the year is to our benefit because the game is in Reno. Nevada is streaky and lost to NMSU around mid-season last year. This is a much better shot than our last trip to Reno.
Better team speed also bodes well for us.
Time is your friend. Impulse is your enemy. -John Bogle
You say we'll lose to lsuseless and possibly BSU and Fresno, but you can see 4 losses. If it's not to Navy or Nevada or Auburn - or another WAC team - that leaves Nichols.
Yeah, I noticed my post was sort of confusing. I totally forgot about Nichols which I pencil in as a win. I said we win at Nevada, but should clarify that we SHOULD win at Nevada. I think the only thing they have over us is their gimmick offense that we haven't figured out yet. It looked like we did last year, but apparently not. I think in order for us to stop their offense, we need the players to make plays. I believe we have the depth, finally, to be able to do that, but not totally sure. So, when I say I can "see" 4 losses, it would be to Nevada in the event we have a problem with injuries and don't have the depth we need. Plus, I'm not totally confident about Auburn. Although, I don't think we lose to both Auburn and Nevada.
8-4 With losses to Auburn, Boise, LSU, Nevada.
It is a bold prediction too. Its going to take a similar kind of dream season to pull off 8-4. But I'm calling it.
Last year's record.
W Miss St: Solid Win with plenty of good defense and a lot of heart.
L @ Kansas: Last year's LSU. Pencil it in.
W SELA: Last year's Nicholls. Pencil it in.
L @ Boise: Convincing loss. At home, I still don't think we cover it.
L @ Hawai'i: Should have won this. This year we take it easy.
W Idaho: Duh.
L @ Army: Should have won. Most teams would have packed it in here. This year is a better Navy team. Going to be tight.
W Fresno St: Hell of a game. Toss up but with our talent increase, I think we take it.
W @ SJSU: Solid defensive win. Home game this year. I have no doubt we take it.
W Utah St: Pretty good. If our defense can close out games this year, we will defend Borel and co. much better.
W @ NMSU: Defense needed to close it out. We lucked out with the Livas touchdown. Home game with a good defense, we should be fine.
L Nevada: Should have won this one. Kaepernick is much tougher on the road though, and I don't see us pulling it off.
L Auburn
W @ Navy: But this one could go either way.
W Nicholls State
W Hawaii
L @ Nevada
W New Mexico St
W @ Utah State
W @ Idaho
L Boise State
L @ LSU: Oh man do I want to beat the stupid out of LSU. But not this year, guys. We play much closer this year, though.
W @ Fresno State
W San Jose State
Most important game to watch: Nevada. Coming of a 2 game homestretch and hopefully a 3 game winning streak, we will be primed to do well at Nevada. Anything could happen. I'm predicting a loss due to Kaepernick, but this is the one loss I think we could steal.
10-2 with a loss at LSU & (pick one) Nevada, Fresno or Boise.
Nevada is the tough game for us. They seem to have our number every year and in every sport. If there is one team in the WAC I want to demolish it would be Nevada.
I think we can take Hawaii and Boise State at home and Fresno State on the road. 1 loss a possibility among these three.
Of the three: Auburn, Navy, LSU we will take 1.5 so conservatively one. Shockingly enough it will probably be Auburn.
So I see 9-3 as a possibility, 8-4 as a reality, and end up in New Mexico.
BTW:
For any possibility of beating LSU I would look at two game films from last year: Tulame and Troy. Tulame held them close in the first half and Troy had their number until they ran out of steam in the 3rd quarter. Some form of combining both those teams strategies against LSwho could take us the distance.
I don't think they had Jordan Jefferson in either of those games though. If he plays like he is capable of playing, then he adds a whole lot to that offense.
Seriously, ALL it comes down to with LSUseless is the QB situation. If the QB plays well, look out. If he plays like crap, we will beat them down. It's not as sure of a thing as some of you guys think, in my opinion. I just hope we don't get the bowl-game version of them from last year. I guess we'll really know once we get to that point in the season, but I honestly see us smacking down Auburn and Navy.
The good news about this game...we are right in between Alabama and Ole Miss, both on the road.
The bad news about this game...we are the homecoming game. Not likely they overlook us.
Auburn - they will still be gelling on offence since it is the first game under new coach, our defense gets us this one.
Navy - DD will remind them about Army last year and we take it out on the midshipmen.
Nichols - nuf said
Hawaii - haka won't do them any good here
Nevada - DD gets them riled up and our offense comes throught on this one
New Mexico St - improvement on both sides of the ball sends this one our way
Utah St - ditto
Idaho - same song , third verse
Boise - not on our turf
lspoo - ask Alabama about the third time around with the dogs
Fresno St - we're on a roll with the goal in sight, DD brings it home
San Jose St - finish of a perfect season
USC - Rose Bowl - NC
so I'm a homer, the other teams are going to have to prove me wrong.
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